Common learning with intertemporal dependence

نویسندگان

  • Martin W. Cripps
  • Jeffrey C. Ely
  • George J. Mailath
  • Larry Samuelson
چکیده

Consider two agents who learn the value of an unknown parameter by observing a sequence of private signals. Will the agents commonly learn the value of the parameter, i.e., will the true value of the parameter become approximate common-knowledge? If the signals are independent and identically distributed across time (but not necessarily across agents), the answer is yes (Cripps, Ely, Mailath, and Samuelson, 2008). This paper explores the implications of allowing the signals to be dependent over time. We present a counterexample showing that even extremely simple time dependence can preclude common learning, and present sufficient conditions for common learning.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution: An Investigation in Iran

We[1] present estimates of the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution (EIS) for Iranian households using synthetic cohort panels based on household micro-data. Results show significant difference with the common values used in Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models which are originally based on estimated values for developed countries. We show that this difference has important ...

متن کامل

Age Differences in Striatal Delay Sensitivity during Intertemporal Choice in Healthy Adults

Intertemporal choices are a ubiquitous class of decisions that involve selecting between outcomes available at different times in the future. We investigated the neural systems supporting intertemporal decisions in healthy younger and older adults. Using functional neuroimaging, we find that aging is associated with a shift in the brain areas that respond to delayed rewards. Although we replica...

متن کامل

Risk aversion , learning spillovers , and path - dependent economic growth *

Each agent j [ 1, . . . , N receives an independent shock influencing her degree of risk aversion, then h j undertakes a risky or safe investment. Prior investment in ‘related’ industries reduces the uncertainty. The shock history and this intertemporal interaction determine the long-run growth rate.  2000 Elsevier Science S.A. All rights reserved.

متن کامل

Learning by Exporting and Structural Change: An Intertemporal General Equilibrium Analysis of the Growth Process in Thailand

The mechanisms of growth out of backwardness are investigated in an intertemporal general equilibrium model for Thailand. Learning by exporting is assumed to be the main vehicle of international spillover. While the econometric literature discusses the causality between exports and productivity, we analyze the endogenous dynamic interaction and with long run growth effects of economic policy. T...

متن کامل

Propranolol reduces reference-dependence in intertemporal choice

In intertemporal choices between immediate and delayed rewards, people tend to prefer immediate rewards, often even when the delayed reward is larger. This is known as temporal discounting. It has been proposed that this tendency emerges because immediate rewards are more emotionally arousing than delayed rewards. However, in our previous research, we found no evidence for this but instead foun...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Int. J. Game Theory

دوره 42  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013